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New study reveals major sea level rise vulnerabilities at Seacliff State Beach – The Mercury News


APTOS — After more than a year of work, California State Parks has produced a 65-page report detailing serious vulnerabilities to climate change-fueled impacts at two popular oceanside destinations in Santa Cruz County.

But what exactly should be done about it remains an open question and the work to get some answers is just getting started.

State Parks, in partnership with its local operating partner Friends of Santa Cruz State Parks, hosted a community workshop at the Seacliff Inn in Aptos late last month to announce completion of the Sea Level Rise Vulnerability Assessment for Seacliff and New Brighton state beaches.

RELATED: Capitola Wharf, wrecked in huge winter storms, set to reopen after $10 million upgrade

The event drew interest from at least 319 residents that attempted to pack themselves into the typically spacious conference room at the hotel, but ended up spilling out into the parking lot.

‘An expectation’

Aptos residents made their preferences known at a community meeting last month when it comes to reimagining Seacliff and New Brighton state beaches in a way that adapts to the climate change era. (PK Hattis - Santa Cruz Sentinel)
Aptos residents made their preferences known at a community meeting last month when it comes to reimagining Seacliff and New Brighton state beaches in a way that adapts to the climate change era. (PK Hattis – Santa Cruz Sentinel) 

The study, put together by consultant Moffatt and Nichol, revealed vulnerabilities at both beaches but the danger was most pronounced at Seacliff where, according to the study, 86% of the park’s assets along the beach and cliffside have been or will be exposed to coastal hazards resulting from sea level rise. At New Brighton, only 17% of those assets were at-risk.

And while the study was designed to assess a number of scenarios that play out over decades at the pair of contiguous beaches, state officials reminded the anxious crowd that the immensely damaging onslaught of winter storms in recent years are part of a new normal that has already arrived.

“As we have experienced the past couple of winters, it is likely that we will have multiple storm events where we’re going to have overtopping, where we’re going to have flooding and we will need to probably temporarily close for public safety some of the facilities there,” said State Parks Santa Cruz District Superintendent Chris Spohrer at the Sept. 26 meeting. “That should be an expectation.”

The study assigned vulnerability ratings to various categories of park facilities within four sea level rise scenarios: one foot by 2050, two feet by about 2070, four feet by 2100 and six feet also by 2100, to account for underestimations in the models. At one foot, all assets including park facilities and infrastructure, recreation, public access, natural resources and cultural resources fall into the “low” impact category. By two feet, facilities and infrastructure, recreation and public access move into the “moderate” category, but escalate to “severe” or “high” at four feet. By six feet, all of the assets are within “severe” or “high” impact levels.

Some of the endangered facilities at Seacliff include the visitor center, a seawall, multiple bathrooms, the campground as well as gas, electrical, sewer lines running underneath the road along the shoreline.

“It gives us an opportunity. We have to look at it this way,” said Spohrer. “It gives us an opportunity to be visionary and think forward about the future with all of you about how we can redevelop these parks to make them resilient to what we know is a changing climate and those impacts that we’re seeing.”

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