As President-elect William Lai takes office in Taiwan, he must navigate the complicated public opinion on the China threat and U.S. security obligations.
US, China views key (Photo: Google)
Lai Faces Challenge in Unifying Public Opinion on China Threat and U.S. Commitment
Lai’s government will struggle to reach a consensus on the China issue, according to Western Kentucky University political science professor and International Public Opinion Lab director Timothy Rich.
Rich examined Macromill Embrain Co. poll data in Foreign Policy, finding party-line disagreements. Over 60% of respondents worried about a Chinese invasion, although their concerns differed by political affiliation. Given the disagreements between DPP, KMT, and TPP supporters on the China danger, Lai must unite their positions.
The study also found respondents doubtful about the U.S. commitment to supporting Taiwan in a fight with China. The confidence divide between parties complicates Lai’s government. Rich said that DPP supporters’ strong confidence may originate from Washington’s informal promises.
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Lai’s Balancing Act in Cross-Strait Relations Amidst China-Related Challenges
Even as he struggles to enact military-related laws and avoid muddled signals that China may exploit, the piece emphasizes Lai’s need to project strength in future ties with China and the globe. Rich thinks that cross-strait policy may stay moderate without a parliamentary majority, limiting Lai’s ability to confront China.
The Lai government must balance Taiwanese interests with cross-strait stability and China-related risks.
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